January 28, 2006, 6:06 PM CT
Powering The Planet
Rising populations and living standards will trigger a dramatic increase in global energy consumption over the next 50 years, Professor Nocera told the 320-strong audience at the Energy Futures Lab's special lecture. Because of this, science's greatest challenge is to find secure, sustainable and environmentally responsible ways to meet this demand.
Eventhough dismissing claims that fossil fuels will not be plentiful enough to supply our needs, he warned of the potentially catastrophic environmental consequences of relying on them too heavily.
"The people who claim CO2 in the atmosphere doesn't contribute to global warming are the biggest gamblers and risk-takers you've ever met," he declared, adding: "If I'm wrong, I'm a safe bet - just one more crazy MIT professor, and believe me there are plenty".
Professor Nocera's area of research, and one he believes holds enormous long-term potential for energy creation, is solar power. If photosynthesis can be duplicated outside the leaf, he explained, the sun's energy can be harnessed as a fuel. The combination of water and light from the sun can be used to produce hydrogen and oxygen. The hydrogen can then be combined with the oxygen in a fuel cell to give back water and energy.
There is, however, a catch. Admitting that our scientific know-how is still not advanced enough to enable this technique, he warned his audience: "If you want to buy into me, it will be the worst investment you've ever made in your lives".........
Posted by: Sarah Permalink
January 28, 2006, 4:36 PM CTCold Decembers often are followed by warm Januarys
It's no fluke that January temperatures so far have been mild enough that this month can be considered a thaw, as per climatologists based at Purdue University.
Early December temperatures indicated that it could be the sixth-coldest Indiana December in 110 years of recordkeeping, said Indiana State Climatologist Dev Niyogi, a Purdue assistant professor of agronomy and earth and atmospheric sciences. Warming during the last 10 days of the month, however, eliminated this possibility and led into a January thaw, which is something that happens as often as 65 percent of the time in the state following a subnormal December.
"A January thaw exists when maximum temperatures are at least 6 to 10 degrees above the local normal maximum temperature for at least seven consecutive days," Niyogi said. "Of course, the normal maximum temperature will vary somewhat from north to south across Indiana, so we used 40 degrees or higher as our basis for estimating a thaw".
Niyogi and Kenneth Scheeringa, a Purdue professional meteorology assistant and associate state climatologist, studied the years 1981 through 2005 to determine the frequency of January thaws. They found that such mid-winter temperature patterns occur most often in far southwestern Indiana at a rate of about 30 percent. In central Indiana, the rate is about 15 percent, while in north central Indiana it's about 8 percent.........
Posted by: Tyler Permalink
January 26, 2006, 12:01 AM CTA Look Deep Into The Centre Of The Earth
The research, published in Nature, suggests that the plume of hot material that provides Hawaii's volcanoes with its continuous supply of molten lava originates from a depth of almost 3000 km, at the border between the Earth's core and its rocky mantle. This is far deeper than had been thought possible by a number of scientists.
Plumes are hot, narrow currents that well up in the mantle and which are responsible for the formation of long chains of volcanoes such as those of the Hawaiian Islands. The question of whether plumes rise from the boundary between the core of the Earth and the mantle that surrounds it, or from a much shallower boundary layer within the mantle, has been hotly debated for more than a quarter of a century.
The new research proved the presence of material from the Earth's core by using a new type of mass spectrometer to analyse the isotope signature of the element thallium in Hawaiian volcanic rocks. Isotope analysis can reveal the physical, chemical and biological processes to which a single element has been subjected.
Dr Mark Rehkamper , from Imperial College London's Department of Earth Sciences and Engineering and the senior author of the research, said: "It is only recently that researchers have developed the ability to analyse these volcanic rocks in enough detail to reveal exactly where in the Earth's interior they came from. The prior evidence has unfortunately been quite ambiguous but our new thallium isotope results are now able to conclusively rule out some of the alternative models. What remains is clear evidence of interaction between the Earth's core and mantle".........
Posted by: Tyler Permalink
January 20, 2006, 6:39 AM CTSensors for Environmental Observatories
Humidity sensors monitor fire danger in remote areas. Nitrate sensors detect agricultural runoff in rivers and streams. Seismic monitors provide early warnings of earthquakes.
"In situ," or in place, sensors are producing a revolution in our understanding of the environment, as per the new National Science Foundation (NSF) report, Sensors for Environmental Observatories. Sensors, the report states, will enable a deeper and broader understanding of Earth's environment. Better-informed public policies that address the interactions between human society and the natural environment will be the result.
Environmental scientists, with the support of NSF and other agencies, have in recent years designed and begun to implement several new environmental observing systems, including EarthScope, the National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON), the Ocean Observatories Initiative (OOI), and others.
"These efforts will enable much-needed longer-term sensing of the environment," said Margaret Leinen, NSF assistant director for geosciences. "However, there are significant limitations to current sensor technology and the networks that collect data from them".
To track changing conditions in deserts, forests, oceans or the atmosphere, environmental sensors must, like the postman, deliver information through snow, sleet, rain, and dark of night.........
Posted by: Tyler Permalink
January 18, 2006, 8:38 PM CTMore Carbon From High Arctic Soil
Ronald Sletten begins excavating a pit at a spot near Thule Air Base in Greenland as Jennifer Horwath examines the soil.Researchers studying the effects of carbon on climate warming are very likely underestimating, by a vast amount, how much soil carbon is available in the high Arctic to be released into the atmosphere, new University of Washington research shows.
A three-year study of soils in northwest Greenland found that a key prior study greatly underestimated the organic carbon stored in the soil. That's because the earlier work generally looked only at the top 10 inches of soil, said Jennifer Horwath, a UW doctoral student in Earth and space sciences.
The earlier work, reported in 1992, estimated nearly 1 billion metric tons of organic carbon was contained in the soil of the polar semidesert, a 623,000-square-mile treeless Arctic region that is 20 percent to 80 percent covered by grasses, shrubs and other small plants. That research also estimated about 17 million metric tons of carbon was sequestered in the soil of the adjacent polar desert, a 525,000-square-mile area where only 10 percent or less of the landscape is plant covered.
Horwath dug substantially deeper, in some instances more than 3 feet down, and found significantly more carbon. She concluded that the polar semidesert contains more than 8.7 billion metric tons of carbon, and the polar desert contains more than 2.1 billion metric tons.........
Posted by: Tyler Permalink
January 16, 2006, 10:40 PM CTGreenland Melting Faster
In the first direct, comprehensive mass survey of the entire Greenland ice sheet, researchers using data from the NASA/German Aerospace Center Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (Grace) have measured a significant decrease in the mass of the Greenland ice cap. Grace is a satellite mission that measures movement in Earth's mass.
In an update to findings published in the journal Geophysical Research Letters, a team led by Dr. Isabella Velicogna of the University of Colorado, Boulder, found that Greenland's ice sheet decreased by 162 (plus or minus 22) cubic kilometers a year between 2002 and 2005. This is higher than all previously published estimates, and it represents a change of about 0.4 millimeters (.016 inches) per year to global sea level rise.
"Greenland hosts the largest reservoir of freshwater in the northern hemisphere, and any substantial changes in the mass of its ice sheet will affect global sea level, ocean circulation and climate," said Velicogna. "These results demonstrate Grace's ability to measure monthly mass changes for an entire ice sheet - a breakthrough in our ability to monitor such changes."
Other recent Grace-related research includes measurements of seasonal changes in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, Earth's strongest ocean current system and a very significant force in global climate change. The Grace science team borrowed techniques from meteorologists who use atmospheric pressure to estimate winds. The team used Grace to estimate seasonal differences in ocean bottom pressure in order to estimate the intensity of the deep currents that move dense, cold water away from the Antarctic. This is the first study of seasonal variability along the full length of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, which links the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian Oceans.........
Posted by: Tyler Permalink
January 16, 2006, 10:36 PM CTImproving Pollution And forecasting Climate
Thanks to the latest sophisticated, satellite-based instruments, local and regional air pollution and their sources can now be observed closely from space. Scientists using new, nearly up-to-the-hour data from NASA's Aura satellite are now tracking important pollutants such as ozone and nitrogen oxide. What's more, the satellite's first global observations of ice in clouds will provide climatologists, weather forecasters and public officials around the world the ability to make better predictions of future climate change.
Launched in 2004, Aura helps researchers understand how atmospheric composition affects and responds to Earth's changing climate. The satellite works to reveal the processes that connect local and global air quality, and also tracks the extent Earth's protective ozone layer is recovering. The satellite is one in an international fleet of Earth-observing satellites nicknamed the "A-Train" that monitor the planet's atmosphere.
"Aura is offering us a whole new way of looking at how pollution travels around the Earth, and precisely what the sources are," said Mark Schoeberl, project scientist for Aura at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Md. "The better we understand the origins of pollution, the more public health stands to benefit, across borders".........
Posted by: Tyler Permalink
January 15, 2006, 8:13 PM CTRecord-breaking Weather In 2005
Long Island was spared the fury of 27 hurricanes and tropical storms that developed in the Atlantic in 2005, including devastating Hurricane Katrina, but local weather was far from normal. According to records kept at the U.S. Department of Energy's Brookhaven National Laboratory, January brought record snowfall of 29 inches, beating the prior record, set in 1948, by three inches. The year brought the hottest August on record, with an average temperature of 76.2 degrees Fahrenheit (F), 1.9 degrees higher than the prior record set in 2003. In October, record rainfall of 22.14 inches soaked the ground, causing local flooding.
"October 2005 was by far the wettest month in the last 57 years that the Lab has been keeping weather statistics, with almost double the amount of rain recorded in any October, and easily beating the prior monthly 13.01 inches of record rain in January 1979," said Victor Cassella, a Brookhaven Lab meteorologist. "We received 17.23 inches of rain in five consecutive days, from October 10 to 15, with 9 inches on October 14. Only in 1954, when Hurricane Edna dumped 9.02 inches of rain, did we get more than that amount of rain in one day".
Cassella said the 2004-2005 snow season brought 78.5 inches of snow, the second snowiest season ever recorded. In the 1995-1996 season, 90.8 inches of snowfall was recorded at the Lab. But 2005 was the third consecutive year of more than 60 inches of snowfall, a pattern that has never been seen previously in the Lab's records. The average yearly snowfall in the area is 31.2 inches.........
Posted by: Tyler Permalink
January 13, 2006, 6:08 PM CTInsights Into Climate Changes
University of Alberta research that rewrites the history of glacial movement in northwestern North America over the past 10,000 years offers important clues to climate change in recent millennia.
Glacier fluctuations are sensitive indicators of past climate change, yet little is known about glacier activity in Pacific North America during the first millennium A.D. Alberto Reyes, a PhD student in the Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, and his research team have found evidence for a regionally extensive glacier expansion during that time, suggesting that climate during the last several thousand years may have been more variable than previously thought. The research appears in the journal Geology.
Reyes and his collaborators - mainly Dr. Dan Smith from the University of Victoria and Dr. Greg Wiles from the College of Wooster in Ohio - looked for a variety of clues in the field to help figure out the timing of past glacier fluctuations. At almost all of the glaciers studied, surface evidence previous to the "Little Ice Age" had been destroyed because glacial advance during that time had been so dramatic. Most of the evidence they found was in the form of buried soils and logs covered by glacial sediments.
"In some cases, entire forest stands were buried by sediments, and their trunks sheared off by advancing ice," said Reyes, who initiated the work while a master's student at Simon Fraser University.........
Posted by: Tyler Permalink
January 11, 2006, 8:25 PM CTPrelude to an Earthquake?
A geophysicist from the U.S. Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (Berkeley Lab) has identified possible seismic precursors to two recent California earthquakes, including the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake that wreaked havoc throughout the Bay Area.
After sifting through seismic data from the two quakes, Valeri Korneev found a spike in the number of micro-earthquakes followed by a period of relative calm in the crust surrounding the quakes' epicenters - months before the quakes occurred. Eventhough more work needs to be conducted to determine whether other large quakes are foreshadowed by a similar rise and subsequent decline in small-magnitude tremors, Korneev's analysis suggests that these peaks may be indicative of the total set of geological stresses that affect the timing and location of large earthquakes. Understanding this total stress picture may eventually make it possible to predict destructive earthquakes within a much shorter time frame than currently possible.
"Peaks in seismic activity in the crust surrounding a fault could help signal the arrival of large earthquakes," says Korneev of Berkeley Lab's Earth Sciences Division. "These peaks may be a good mid-term precursor and allow authorities to declare alerts several months before earthquakes".........
Posted by: Tyler Permalink
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